Friday, 12 April 2013

Where Sensex Next - Thanks to Sriram of IDFC AMC for sharing


A look at SENSEX levels at different times along with its PE Valuation , Overall Market sentiment , NET Equity Inflows and SENSEX Performances.

11-Jan-00
SENSEX Level
5296
P/E Valuation
22.93
Overall Market Sentiment
Positive
Net Equity Inflows (Jan - Dec 2000)
7497 Crs


What Happens Next
Sensex Returns Since Then
10.33 % CAGR

19-Mar-03
SENSEX Level
3121
P/E Valuation
13.59
Overall Market Sentiment
 Negative
Net Equity Inflows (Apr2001- Mar2003
7480 Crs


What Happens Next
Sensex Returns Since Then
16.65% CAGR


8-Jan-08
SENSEX Level
20873
P/E Valuation
28.51
Overall Market Sentiment
Positive 
Net Equity Inflows (Jan2006- Sep2008
100384 Crs


What Happens Next
Sensex Returns Since Then
(-)1.44 % CAGR

20-Nov-08
SENSEX Level
8451
P/E Valuation
10.72
Overall Market Sentiment
Negative 
Net Equity Inflows (Oct2008-Mar2009)
2113 Crs


What Happens Next
Sensex Returns Since Then
20.21 % CAGR


28-Mar-13
SENSEX Level
18835
P/E Valuation
15.95
Overall Market Sentiment
Negative 
Net Equity Inflows (April 2033 – Feb 2013)
15778 Crs


What DO you Think will Happen NEXT ???

Denotes Negative Inflow

Denotes Positive Inflow



Note :
Sensex Level Source : BSE/ Bloomberg
For Calculation of NET Equity Inflows , Growth , Balanced , ELSS , ETF Fund categories are considered (Source : AMFI)
Returns Calculated as on 13.03.2013

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